The VALORANT Champions 2023 tournament is approaching its final stages with only the top-four teams remaining. Let’s take a closer look at these teams and analyze their chances of winning the tournament.
First up is the upper bracket final between Evil Geniuses (EG) and Paper Rex (PRX). Let’s compare their statistics:
Collective ACS
- EG: 214.84 across nine maps played
- PRX: 202.17 across nine maps played
Number of maps dropped in tournament
- EG: One
- PRX: One
Total round wins
- EG: 118
- PRX: 111
Number of top-rated players on squad
- EG: One, Demon1 (No. 2 with 260 ACS per map)
- PRX: One, Jinggg (No. 10 with 228 ACS per map)
Past meetings
- Masters Tokyo 2023 lower bracket final: 3-2 in favor of EG
Based on these statistics, both EG and PRX are evenly matched. The outcome of this match will likely depend on the performance of Demon1 from EG and how well PRX can counter him. Additionally, PRX must also focus on shutting down EG’s killer support player, Ethan Arnold, to increase their chances of victory.
In their previous meetings, PRX managed to win two maps out of five against EG in the Masters Tokyo lower bracket final. However, Demon1’s LAN performance has significantly improved, making it difficult for PRX to stop him. It will be an uphill battle for PRX if Demon1 continues his impressive form.
To win the match, PRX will need every member of their team to perform at their best. They have an advantage in terms of winning rounds quickly without overtime, which shows their efficiency. If they can maintain this efficiency and effectively neutralize EG’s key players, they have a chance to emerge victorious.
Our prediction for this match is that Evil Geniuses will win and advance to the Grand Final.
In the lower bracket semi-final, Fnatic will face off against LOUD. Let’s compare their statistics:
Collective ACS
- Fnatic: 203.85 across 11 maps played
- LOUD: 204.75 across 16 maps played
Number of maps dropped in tournament
- Fnatic: Three
- LOUD: Three
Total round wins
- Fnatic: 122
- LOUD: 191
Number of top-rated players on squad
- Fnatic: One, Alfajer (No. 4 with 242 ACS per map)
- LOUD: One, Less (No. 8 with 228 ACS per map)
Past meetings
- VCT Champions 2023 upper bracket quarter final: 2-0 in favor of LOUD
- VCT 2023 LOCK//IN grand final: 3-2 in favor of Fnatic
Fnatic and LOUD are evenly matched, with both teams experiencing wins and losses against each other. LOUD has been pushed harder by their opponents, having to win 69 more rounds and play five more maps. If Fnatic stays mentally focused and supports their star player, Alfajer, they should be able to win this match. LOUD’s player, Less, should not be underestimated, and if Fnatic is not mentally prepared, they may face difficulties. Our prediction for this match is that Fnatic will win and advance to the lower bracket final.
In the lower bracket final, Fnatic will go head-to-head against PRX. Although we don’t have specific statistics for this hypothetical situation, we can still make predictions based on their performance trends:
Collective ACS
- Fnatic: 203.85 across 11 maps played
- PRX: 202.17 across nine maps played
Number of maps dropped in tournament
- Fnatic: Three
- PRX: One
Total round wins
- Fnatic: 122
- PRX: 111
Number of top-rated players on squad
- Fnatic: One, Alfajer (No. 4 with 242 ACS per map)
- PRX: One, Jinggg (No. 10 with 228 ACS per map)
Past meetings
- Masters Tokyo 2023 upper bracket semi-final: 2-0 in favor of Fnatic
Statistically and performance-wise, PRX seems to have the upper hand. They have a similar collective ACS to Fnatic, despite playing fewer maps. PRX has also dropped fewer maps and won fewer rounds. However, Fnatic should not be underestimated, especially after their comeback victory in the LOCK//IN Grand Final. If every member of Fnatic is performing at their best, they will pose a challenge for PRX. The key for Fnatic is to maintain their mental focus and support their star players, Alfajer and Derke. Reliably utilizing their firepower will be crucial to dismantling PRX. Our prediction for this match is that Paper Rex will win and advance to the Grand Final.
In the Grand Final, Evil Geniuses will face off against Paper Rex. While we don’t have specific numbers for this match, we can predict based on their performance trends:
Analysis
Evil Geniuses is likely to have the upper hand in this final stretch. Although PRX has momentum after defeating Fnatic, it is uncertain if they can match up to the level of EG. EG has the advantage of LAN experience, and their star player, Demon1, has been performing exceptionally well. If Demon1 and Ethan can maintain their form and EG supports their team effectively, we believe that PRX will struggle. While PRX’s player, something, has been impressive, Demon1’s ACS per map surpasses his performance. Our prediction is that Evil Geniuses will win and take home the trophy for Champions 2023.